Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 13, 2022

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Thu Oct 27 16:57:21 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @baseballot @lxeagle17 @DrewLinzer @Civiqs and i think there's a distinct chance that we'd transition to MRP in future cycles -- not because of small area estimation but because it's a vastly better framework for adjusting on multiple variables — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @baseballot @lxeagle17 @DrewLinzer @Civiqs i see why 538 wouldn't take state-level MRP estimates, but i don't see the difference between a national poll with MRP and rake weighting from 538's point of view — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @baseballot @lxeagle17 @DrewLinzer @Civiqs also aren't the CBS/YouGov polls MRP-based? my (now very old) recollection is that the horse-race is raked to marginals from MRP @kabir_here @doug_rivers — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 27, 2022