Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 8, 2022

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Fri Sep 30 14:57:16 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Senate is your sort of IRL example of how the number of races easily makes a 'structural edge' flimsy. In some ways, it's a stronger edge than the House! But it's three races -- nominate Masters, Oz and Walker and suddenly who cares — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think it is also possible -- though IDK, they can weigh in -- that 538 aggressiveness about fundraising metrics helps Democrats in a number of key districts? That's what they say in the Senate, at least — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris it is relevant to your narrower point about whether you care more about a shift of .2 pts or whatever in the median district v. shifting 8 districts from right to left of the national vote. it greatly increases the vulnerability of the GOP advantage to the phenomena you cite — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 30, 2022 Just a Typo