Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 13, 2022

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Wed Aug 10 14:19:23 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Washington top-two primary is another data-point in this category, but a more plainly healthy one for Democrats IMO. The result is much worse for Democrats than '18 and much better for them than '10/14. It's a lot like 16/20, which would keep Dems in the game for the House — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The turnout in primary elections is sort of in the middle. It's remained a decent indicator for the GOP, with GOP primary turnout up significantly over '18. But Dem turnout has stayed strong and it's not exactly 10/14, either. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

All of these primary/special election-based indicators are hard to interpret with tremendous confidence. I don't read too much into any one of them. But taken together, there fare far fewer signs of the highly favorable GOP environment we saw/expected earlier this cycle — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022