Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 28, 2022

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Wed Aug 03 14:10:56 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DKarol @jon_m_rob @ElectProject @mattyglesias obviously. but this was result was consistent with state-level estimates based on national polling data about abortion rights, which accounts for the racial composition of the state and so on, while this Kansas result is a net-20 pts to the left — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @ElectProject @mattyglesias i think that latter clause is entirely possible -- after roe, these votes have consequences that they didn't before. but i don't think this result simply follows some preordained pre-roe pattern — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DKarol @jon_m_rob @ElectProject @mattyglesias similarly, if you model the KS result based on county-level data from abortion referedums where 'no' was the pro-abortion option, including LA, you wind up with ~ a tie in Kansas, like the national polling — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022