Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 24, 2022

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Wed Aug 03 14:02:52 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @ElectProject @mattyglesias i don't think this can be reasonably interpreted as status quo bias -- or, if it is, it represents a change in status quo bias from prior votes https://t.co/3aJni6Hmmi — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It doesn't seem like there was a *huge* split in the early v election day vote, as expected, even though Ds were ~50% likelier to turn out in the early vote than Rs. That raises the possibility Ds had the turnout edge on election day as well--and a rare, big edge overall — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @ElectProject @mattyglesias i think that latter clause is entirely possible -- after roe, these votes have consequences that they didn't before. but i don't think this result simply follows some preordained pre-roe pattern — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022