Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2022

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Wed Aug 03 01:59:35 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're now up to seven Kansas counties where at least 75 percent of precincts are counted, and 'no' is running about 6 pts ahead of our pre-election benchmarks for a tied election, based on recent referendum results — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NapervillePol well it would be pointing about 63% 'no,' but we wouldn't be publishing it since it doesn't have a great way to handle early voting unless it gets election results by method of voting or can borrow statistical power from states where the vote is already complete — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Some of you may find waiting for largely completed data to be a little tedious, but this is the only sure-fire way to avoid making a bad Arizona call in the absence of data by method of voting. Sorry if it's slower than you'd like! But there's clearly a big early-eday split — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2022