Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 19, 2022

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Wed Jul 13 15:30:13 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is true that our polling underestimated Democrats in some relatively Hispanic states/CDs in 2018, but in the post-election analysis virtually all of the effect was due to turnout/composition of the electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One dynamic in my 'replies' that's surprised me this AM: some followers showing a very good memory in recalling that our '18 polling underestimated Ds among Latinos, while worry about polls underestimated Trump among white voters in 20. The latter point is a lot more serious, IMO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

With that in mind, it did not surprise me--at all--that our polls showed typical Democratic strength among Latino voters and Latino states in '20. There was no methodological change — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 13, 2022