Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 17, 2022

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Mon Jul 11 12:30:56 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For some idea of the magnitude of the effect: people who voted in both 18/20 would have been 76% of the sample with simple random sampling. In our poll, it's 51% in the unweighted/weighted sample — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 11, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If we pull out the effect of representing low turnout voters, Biden's approval rating in the unweighted sample would have increased by 3 points — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 11, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This poll felt like it was out of 2016. People aren't happy. That 43-40 on Biden/Trump isn't 17 percent undecided--they're mainly people who affirmatively volunteered I wouldn't vote/someone else, even though it wasn't an option https://t.co/S0Ii2Eduth — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn I have never seen a lower Party ID number: only 30 D's and 29 R's.

Posted July 11, 2022