Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

Created

Wed May 18 16:52:54 +0000 2022

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@rp_griffin though it does seem like we were probably helped by weighting on this. final national poll LV is 21% Dem primary in 20; 15% GOP primary in 20, which seems like it lines up with your figures above if I understand it. Dems in 20 primary: Biden 94-4 Dems no 20 primary: Biden 78-14 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@rp_griffin i think it's entirely plausible that this issue is deeply related to the problem. we've always weighted on primary vote history, but perhaps we fail to reach a representative group of less-engaged, non-primary voters, so weighting doesn't help — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022

Followed By

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@rp_griffin it's part of the sample scheme too, so weighting had limited effect — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 18, 2022