Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @gelliottmorris there is a little bit of a streak where presidents seeking reelection get higher approval in the exits than pre-election polls, regardless of poll error (obama 54/45 in '12; bush 53/46 in '04) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @davidshor @gelliottmorris it's interesting and consistent across n=3: net-5 pts better approval than horse race. i've often wondered whether there's a weird post-voting interview effect, where people who just voted against the incumbent feel inclined to be more positive in subsequent evaluations — PolitiTweet.org