Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Thu Mar 03 22:02:22 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs at the time, one of the best reasons to take the proportional view seriously was the polling. there were polls showing a close race in MS/SC, etc. in retrospect, seems likelier to be polling error/undecided voters — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs maybe it did to some extent or another--and yeah we could hypothesize about why that might be so. but i'm not entirely convinced there's a huge surprise in retrospect? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs one last point, with relevant to the logit: it's quite clear to me that census tract col+ had a lot of predictive value on vote flipping, beyond individual level educational attainment. helps explain GA v MS to some extent — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2022