Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 20, 2022

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Thu Mar 03 21:56:01 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs but that's not usually how it seems to happen, presumably because truly persuadable voters seem to make up a smaller share of a party's voters in highly partisan areas in many cases — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs if this proportional model of persuasion was useful, you'd expect a party to always make its biggest inroads in the opposition's strongest territory. (ie: if you flip 10% of trump voters, you'd gain 10% in a place that's 100% trump but 5% in a 50% spot) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @lxeagle17 @SpecialPuppy1 @hodgesmr @mehdirhasan @ashe_cs so it's not at all obvious to me that the deep south defied what ought to have been our expectations based on some individual-level support model w a logit shift in '16 (as opposed to this proportional chart)? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2022