Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 7, 2022

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Sat Feb 05 18:10:23 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

the case, i think, would rest on a comparison to the PA '18 map and the NC '20 redraw, and say that it's basically as fair as those maps (avg mean-median of 2.4 and efficiency gap of 6.7 in '16 pres) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

with this map, the mean-median is still wide at 2.3 pts and the efficiency gap is at 7.9. the court could definitely still strike it down. but the court didn't set any standards for mean/median, efficiency gap. and i think a gambling GOP could at least argue it's good enough — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

and again, i'm not putting this out there to say this is the likeliest outcome; i'm doing it to say that i think this is the best plausibly defensible case for the GOP at this point. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 5, 2022