Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 26, 2022

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Wed Dec 29 18:02:56 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If, hypothetically, the Democrats make another big round of gains in the once red suburbs of Texas, IND, STL, etc., the value of GOP gerrymanders will soar. For now, it's the Democrats who might make slight gains — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The GOP, OTOH, has really sured itself up against a Dem wave. There are 15 more CDs where Trump won by at least 15! In practice, that's less about playing defense against a wave and more about playing defense against highly unfavorable trends in formerly red, GOP-held suburbs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

IE: if Texas turns blue, the GOP is still going to have a two-to-one seat edge and this gerrymander will look incredible. But it's entirely possible the Dems do better in '22 in TX than they would have on the old map — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021