Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 26, 2022

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Wed Dec 29 17:58:00 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Across the 265 completed CDs, there are 5 more Biden CDs than before and there are also 4 more CDs where Dems would survive in a rout. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Given the extremely high relationship between presidential and congressional vote in '20, the easiest way to see that, to my mind, is to look at two measures: the number of Biden CDs and the number of CDs that are left of, say, Virginia (a hypothetical wave) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The GOP, OTOH, has really sured itself up against a Dem wave. There are 15 more CDs where Trump won by at least 15! In practice, that's less about playing defense against a wave and more about playing defense against highly unfavorable trends in formerly red, GOP-held suburbs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021