Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 21, 2022

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Tue Dec 28 18:03:44 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw (and hey, the biden pres vote model has an r^2 of .96 or .98 or whatever--it's nothing to scoff at!) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw yesterday, i was using nevada as the example about where pres vote misses something. i think the model *is* showing you something important here--it's absolutely worth being in that ensemble. but i think it's a mistake to assume that greater sophistication means its definitive — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw it's really not a critique; i've never made a house model where i didn't want to change the estimates for a dozen districts here or there (and sometimes i was wrong to want a different number!) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 28, 2021