Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 21, 2022

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Mon Dec 27 19:09:47 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A little less abstractly: the new districts were Biden 135, Trump 106 in 2020. On the old map, it was Biden 131, Trump 108. With respect to the national vote, the new districts have 127 leaning left to 114 leaning right; before it was 121 to 118. (the completed states tilt D) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So, to this point, the map is not simply 'not as bad' for Democrats as feared. The first 241 districts so far are basically fair, thanks to a mix of both Democratic and Republican gerrymandering cancelling the other out — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

From there there's still a ton of uncertainty: Dems have a huge opportunity in NY. A commission will help in MI. They have opportunities to undo a GOP edge in NC/OH state courts. The GOP OTOH has opportunities in GA, FL, TN, MO, KY. So there's a ton of moving pieces left — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021