Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Mon Dec 27 19:05:13 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So if, hypothetically, the fight for the House was limited to the 29 states to finish redistricting so far, the Democrats would be at zero disadvantage in translating their votes to seats — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Take the 'mean-median gap', maybe the very simplest measure of whether a party will struggle to translate their popular majority into a congressional majority. Across the 241 districts drawn so far, the mean-median gap is 0.00, down from R+2.4 in these same states in 2020 pres. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So, to this point, the map is not simply 'not as bad' for Democrats as feared. The first 241 districts so far are basically fair, thanks to a mix of both Democratic and Republican gerrymandering cancelling the other out — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021