Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 21, 2022

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Mon Dec 27 15:51:44 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Before redistricting, most of the analysis was done in terms of that former measure--expected seat flips. Now that we have actual districts, most of the analysis is being done with the latter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Take NV. It had a 3-1 Dem delegation in '20; it will have a 3-1 map in '21. No change, as expected before redistricting. But the districts got quite a bit stronger for Democrats. In '20, it was 3-1 to the right of the national vote, now it's 3-1 to the left. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot of the 'surprise' falls into this category. Take Texas: it actually was expected to be 13 Dem before! Go look at Wasserman's old tweets or something. But two contested but already Dem-held districts--the old 32/7--are now solid D, obscuring other GOP improvements — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2021