Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 31, 2021

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Wed Dec 01 13:07:57 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini @jon_m_rob this particular question with seniors is a new one to me, so i have no idea. but without having looked further, my instinct is that the data quality on the vaccine side seems likely to be pretty sketch — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 1, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini @jon_m_rob some of those issues got resolved by the '20 census in ways i expected, or at least got nudged closer to my expectations. (to take one ex, the ACS has often been underestimating pop decline in urban black areas, exaggerating (a still real) decline in black turnout) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 1, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini @jon_m_rob on top of that, there are some weird churn issues here. 3 million people die a year or whatever while 3 million enter the 65+ cohort. you like to think this is handled well, but if not it's easy to wind up with more recorded as vaccinated 65+ than the population at any time — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 1, 2021