Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@msadowsky i do agree (though i might go more like 52.25). i do think it is worth emphasizing, though, that even in an utterly unbiased system, that a 52% average when you're out of power would generally not translate to sustained rule once you're in the WH — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini @BenjySarlin to be fair, that's the 4% who actually switch in any given election--the pool of plausible switchers, depending on candidates and environment, is quite a bit larger! — PolitiTweet.org