Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 17, 2021

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Fri Nov 12 15:20:06 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@msadowsky so yes you can dwell on how hard it is for you, but don't lose sight of the fact that... you'd still have a hard time with your historically modest starting performance — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@msadowsky a different way of framing my point: given historic party out of power penalties and so on, if the democrats win the house vote by ~52% in the three prior cycles, we would not expect them to hold the senate once they're in power--even with no structural biases at all — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@msadowsky ...and most parties don't hold trifectas unless they start with a lot more than that! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 12, 2021