Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 29, 2021

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Thu Nov 04 14:42:25 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It will be a while until we have authoritative data on turnout in Virginia, but at the moment I think it's fair to say two things, judged against 2020: --Black/non-white turnout was weak for Democrats --Otherwise, Democratic turnout was probably fine — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@otis_reid @Taniel @chrislhayes we'll know when the voter file arrives for the election day vote, but in the meantime i see: -- *relatively* weak turnout among black voters, likely dropping as a share of the electorate --strong GOP/white working class turnout v. '17, but not clearly for 20 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For clarity, I've assigned the turnout among early voters to each precinct using voter file data, allowing for a direct comparison to 2020 turnout using vote history data — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2021