Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 23, 2021

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Wed Nov 03 13:45:01 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You can look at it in a number of ways: --he underperformed the fundamentals in both 2016 and 2020. --he ran behind Republicans in the US House in both 2016 and 2020 --his approval/favorability were always horrible; he probably couldn't have beaten someone other than Clinton — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Yeah, the narrative has often been about Trump's electoral invincibility but--that's a function of extraordinarily low expectations. There's plenty of reason to think he underperforms generic establishment Republicans https://t.co/GmJSpk1dmb — PolitiTweet.org

Yesterday's results were foreshadowed a year ago, when suburbanites' rebuke of Trump did not translate downballot,… https://t.co/tyhck8bitU

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the alternative timeline, Rubio or whoever beats Clinton in 16, wins reelection in '20, but Democrats do have a great night last night and maybe they'll have 55 Senate seats heading into 2024, when they're favored to win the presidency — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021