Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 19, 2021

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Tue Nov 02 23:26:49 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is a little complicated, but the 'dprior' is what we thought it would be in a tie and 'dactual' is what we're seeing. https://t.co/5wM9q88yhp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We now have over 100k votes over ~100 precincts. It's basically exactly what we thought it would be a tied election. But YoungKin is running just a little bit ahead of our expectations so far. Still very early; precincts not necessarily representative — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's important to note, ofc, that there's a certain amount of guesswork involved in a hypothetical tie, esp in a state that hasn't had a close race in a while. Hopefully I don't need to state all the obvious caveats involved here — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 2, 2021