Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Mon Nov 01 18:37:10 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or put differently, I'm not drawing attention to the trajectory point to make a prediction, but instead to note that I think it's a valid argument in this case when I don't usually think it is one — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2021 Deleted after 37 seconds

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In general, there's not. To my mind, there's even evidence for a little mean reversion. But we also have a secular negative trend in Biden's approval rating, and I think it's straightforward to argue that there are deeper currents going on right now https://t.co/D4f6v81lyA — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Hasn't other Nate indicated there's no good evidence for momentum over mean reversion?

Posted Nov. 1, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or put differently, I'm not drawing attention to the trajectory to make a prediction. But I do think there is a valid trendline/trajectory type argument in this election--even if it's not dispositive and even though I usually don't think that's a good way to think about it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2021