Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 12, 2021

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Sat Oct 30 17:46:35 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you want to mentally adjust these Biden-based estimates using the polls, maybe you could put McAuliffe is at 59%. If you assume--as I tend to--that early voters are hardened partisans, than maybe it's 62 or whatever. That's quite close to a lot of the polling we've seen, imo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(on that last point, i see a lot of people saying that this means that mcauliffe has a 300k lead or something. i have no hard data to address how mcauliffe, specifically, is doing in the early vote.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 30, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ElectProject: Well, the university still approves of some things I do — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2021 Retweet