Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 5, 2021

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Fri Oct 29 12:57:46 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Pollsters with better data collection tend not to use recalled vote choice, in favor of more stable measures of partisanship, as it's a potentially biased and unstable paramter — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Post-16, it did not seem like there was much winners bias toward Trump. Many pollsters, especially with poor data collection, started using it for weighting. It's a great crutch: you can weight a poll of NYC to be plausibly accurate for the US if you weight it by US past vote — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our Times/Siena polls, for instance, we almost always found Trump leading Clinton by more than he actually won by. Our polls would have been even *more* biased toward Biden if we had weighted on it. (many on twitter, ofc, attempted to unskew our polls on that basis. oops) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021