Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 4, 2021

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Fri Oct 29 12:44:04 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If it's inferred... well I should caution that you can't actually infer that without information on 2020 nonvoters/refusals/'other' types. IE: if those other groups are hypothetically Youngkin+30 and 10% of RVs, then recalled vote could be Biden+11 among major party voters w RVs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My replies are full of people talking about the recalled vote in the Fox poll, which is purportedly Trump+1 with LVs / Biden+6 with RVs. Is this a reported fact somewhere, or is this just inferred from the crosstabs (which show gov results by Trump/Biden vote)? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Stipulating for the purposes of this thread that the replies are accurate, I'll just say that I don't think recalled vote is a great tool for unskewing polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 29, 2021