Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2021

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Thu Oct 14 15:44:52 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The downside for the Democrats--part of the 'apocalypse Senate' case--is that the Democrats only win 23 states here, down from 25. That said, they're above 49 in two more states so it's not hugely different than the status quo. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A simple thought-experiment. What happens if you simply run the 2012 to 2020 trendline forward to 2028? Obviously there's no reason to expect this, but it is something to consider given the case that recent electoral trends are an unmitigated catastrophe for Democrats https://t.co/kyh43RcIUW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The better news for Democrats: the electoral college-popular vote gap basically evaporates, as Texas becomes a singularly important near-US average tipping point state, sort of like NY at various points pre-New Deal — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 14, 2021