Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 29, 2021

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Fri Oct 08 16:31:48 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, this voter file data useful is great for weighting and individual level targeting. But the story from aggregate voter file data, based on old measures of partisanship like registration, may yield a weird picture post-2016 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That interpretation yields weird things in other sections, as well. This has Coloradan whites leaning R, though Biden won them. They have Dems losing among ground white Pennsylvanians, bc of voter reg shifts, even tho Biden gained https://t.co/Tbh73G4vSa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 8, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the end, this is an example of how some serious data limitations / questions about the Democratic coalition post-2020 make it more difficult for the party to game out its future — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 8, 2021