Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 10, 2021

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Fri Oct 01 13:11:59 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

After the 2012 election, the conventional wisdom held that Obama's victories reflected the power of a new coalition of the ascendent, or even an emerging democratic majority, powered by sweeping generational and demographic shifts — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Perhaps even more important is recalling the flawed assumptions, data and conventional wisdom that made this piece so important at the time, even as it seems fairly obvious in some ways today (at least to me) https://t.co/pugdGllBuV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot of this flowed from the 2012 exit polls, which showed Obama winning just 39% of white voters--lower than any Democrat since Dukakis. But he nonetheless won easily, as Latinos surged to 10% of the electorate and whites fell to just 72% — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 1, 2021