Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 4, 2021

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Wed Sep 15 15:31:44 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ASDem @jonfavs there were definitely polls in that category, and i'm sympathetic to the challenge! but i don't that's the only thing that went on, either — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonfavs sure, it's possible. that said, some of the pollsters who you don't expect to show those kind of swings--yougov, for ex.--showed recall trailing by only 4 at one point — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One minor note from last night: the networks didn't call the recall until basically the point of mathematical elimination, even though they had an exit poll. It's a telling indicator of how much the partisan split of VBM has degraded typical projection models — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021