Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 4, 2021

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Wed Sep 15 13:18:04 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's worth noting that this would not be the same as 'this race was always a blow out and the polls were wrong,' which I see floating around. Here, the likelier explanation is that there was a significant shift in responses once voting got underway, even if it was inevitable — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm reminded, for instance, of those silly questions about whether someone deserves to be reelected, which always underestimates their support by a wide margin. In contrast, you can imagine that Newsom might have always led by 20+ if the ? was Newsom, the D v. Elder, the R — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob not going to give you exactly what you want, but here's the easy one https://t.co/VWRki0kiHz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021