Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 1, 2021

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Wed Sep 15 03:30:42 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

According to the California exit poll, Newsom fared better among white college graduates than nonwhite voters in the state. Newsom isn't even faring better among Latino than non-Latino voters https://t.co/5nLkMnWcvg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If, hypothetically, turnout matches 2018 levels, then "yes" will need 85% of what's left to win. Obviously a much higher turnout can nudge that number down, but... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It won't make a difference on the outcome, but it is worth keeping in mind that we still don't have anything on either the size or makeup of the Election Day vote, which is all but assured to knock Newsom down a bit from where he's standing now — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 15, 2021