Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2021

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Fri Sep 03 19:08:13 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden's rating on 8/15--the day Kabul fell--was still +7 on the FiveThirtyEight tracker. It's now -2.5 and that's probably generous. Either way, it's a net-10 pt shift in ~2 weeks; it's an obvious and significant discontinuity from the longer term trend https://t.co/69eO7hwLrG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think it's fair to point out that there are other factors--delta, the economy, the end of a honeymoon--weighing down Biden's ratings, but I think it's a little too cute to argue that the recent decline in his rating isn't mainly 'about' Afghanistan — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden's approval rating had been fundamentally stable, if in secular decline as honeymoons fade. Then the Afghanistan withdraw was, in the judgment of the public, something of a disaster and his approval rating tanked. This isn't very complicated — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 3, 2021