Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PoliticsWolf @kkondik to be clear though, i do think there's a case that MI is a GOP underperformance of the nonpartisan baseline, at least in terms of total seats, since we do know the Ds ultimately flip 8/11, while there's inherent uncertainty (and thus GOP upside) about 9/5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PoliticsWolf @kkondik (this is not quite the same as an argument that the nonpartisan map is *better* for the GOP than the gerrymander, by the way, as clearly 8/11 are not safe Dem seats. but they may hold fewer seats today as a result of the map) — PolitiTweet.org