Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked July 6, 2021

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Tue Jul 06 22:54:14 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Deleted a thread on Garcia's showing in the absentee vote. I copied her prior tally down at 348k, not 343k, and thus deprived her of 5k absentee votes in my calculation. https://t.co/mAIOtZojlg — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Only by 1? I think she netted 6K votes or so about of these 120K unless I'm doing math wrong, went from… https://t.co/RomCfltN2w

Posted July 6, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(in general, if a geographic turnout pattern favors a candidate, you usually expect that candidate to do even better than the geographic data alone would suggest) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 6, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That means she won just over 53% of the new ballots, which is more in line with what we would expect based on the geography of the absentee vote, though still not exceeded it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 6, 2021