Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked June 30, 2021

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Wed Jun 30 22:02:25 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

All considered, it's the most pronounced version of the conventional narrative we've seen yet: Biden struggling to gain ground among core Democratic constituencies, but making up for it with big gains among GOP groups — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

According to Pew, 73% of Trump supporters turned out v. 68% of Biden supporters, based on vote history data. That turnout pattern is about the same as it was in 2016, if not slightly more favorable to Trump, per their data — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Perhaps the big question is... how right is this? There's a lot of reason to like the Pew data. And there's a surprising amount of corroboration for the basic contours of the story, whether from the exits, votecast, or Catalist, even though all of the various sources have issues. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 30, 2021