Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked June 11, 2021

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Fri Jun 11 13:26:47 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

WV also reacted to Obama in a way that's much more like the white South. Here the swing from 12-04. Of the sort of spots that swung Democratic during the New Deal era (go look at the 16-48 map again), the southern ones bolted at Obama but not so much northern https://t.co/NfPuHvf7Lf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 11, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But WV is of predominantly Southern ancestry (it was part of VA, after all!). Like the South, Evangelicals represent a big share of the electorate. In part as a consequence, Bush culture war did tend to yield somewhat larger gains in the rural South than North (here swing 96-04) https://t.co/WzES0YCw1V — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 11, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's some room to wonder how much of this represents a continuation of longer term trends. But the clear regional split here is certainly consistent with the idea that white *southern* Democrats reacted adversely to Obama because of race — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 11, 2021