Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 14, 2021

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Fri May 14 17:53:01 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Catalist figures show Trump making nearly 3x as many gains among Latino voters as either the CCES or exit polls showed, with Trump gaining *8* points of major party vote share. That comes close to what you'd guess based on the precinct results, live phone data. https://t.co/FWyzfx2Jv8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 14, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Second observation: the Catalist figures show, by far, the most Democratic gains among white voters and largest Trump gains among Latinos of all of the various sources. And I'm inclined to believe, based on the other available evidence, that they're right about it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 14, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Similarly, the Catalist figures show Biden making more gains among white voters than the CCES/exits. Here again, the magnitude of the swing is fairly similar to what the precinct results / live polls implied https://t.co/8pavAQJiyf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 14, 2021