Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 4, 2021

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Tue May 04 15:13:37 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(That's because Obama's two big strengths were high black turnout and strength among white northerners, especially in the classic Midwestern battleground states where there's been little demographic change) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I should also note that Obama '12--which is often attributed to racial demographic change--can hold all the way back into the 1980s — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

He would win with Obama 08/12 black turnout, but he would not win with even 2020 demographics (and his actual turnout rate among black v white voters) https://t.co/u6s43K4192 — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn I thought Kerry ‘04 would have won on a later more diverse map?

Posted May 4, 2021