Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 4, 2021

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Tue May 04 15:07:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you start turning back the demographic clock, Biden quickly loses AZ/GA/NV and eventually loses PA/WI once you push the racial composition of the nation back a couple of decades. But even if you go back to the '80s, he's still winning more electoral votes than Clinton — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There are two elections that were at least arguably decided by racial demographics, at least judged over a multi-decadal period: Bush '00 and Biden '20. Obviously these were already exceptionally close; most anything can decide these races — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In other words, Biden's quite modest gains among white voters since '16 did about as much for his chances as decades of demographic shifts — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 4, 2021