Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2021

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Wed Apr 21 13:32:55 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @jbarro or put differently, you've put yourself in the odd place of saying 'biden would be favored to win reelection if he had done worse in tx/ca, etc.' — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @jbarro at a certain point, do you wonder whether the DV should switch to margin in the tipping-point state, not the margin in the popular vote? There's no way to distinguish whether the EC/PV gap should be thought of as excess red/blue state strength or battleground state weakness — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@sean_domnick @davidshor @jbarro we have an ec/pv gap because that expectation didn't work out at all over the last eight years, w democrats making huge gains in tx/ca while losing ground in swing states — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2021