Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 16, 2021

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Fri Apr 16 02:03:53 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Dems also have an added, albeit odd, advantage (with respect to the popular vote) thanks to low turnout among Latino voters. That allows Democrats to win districts with relatively few votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But the story in the red states and Sun Belt is different in a more fundamental way. There, the GOP does win rural areas by an overwhelming margin--matching what Dems do in the urban north, and, importantly, more than Dems in southern cities. At same time, Ds flip the burbs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The result is that there are several red/Sun Belt states where the Democrats have a big geographic advantage. There, they win metro areas efficiently, 60/40 (and with great population-vote ratios in Latino areas), while the GOP wastes votes with huge rural margins — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2021