Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked May 23, 2022

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Thu Mar 25 23:21:15 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@doug_rivers the pollster ratings, i believe, measure a pollster's expected average error (here still the mean absolute error if you prefer) v. the industry-wide average error, given the races they've polled and their methodology — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@doug_rivers in nate silver's article, 'average error' = the mean absolute error, while 'bias' = 'mean error' — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@doug_rivers the pollster ratings, i believe, reflect an estimate of a pollster's expected average error (here still the mean absolute error if you prefer) v. the industry-wide average error, given their past performance and methodology — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021