Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Thu Mar 25 16:18:06 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One of the best hope for polling is the theory that the error/bias was mainly just about the coronavirus, for instance. Our Oct. 2019 polls were way better than Oct. 2020! The poll averages in Feb/Mar 2020 were way better too. But I think the evidence is pretty inconclusive — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's an open question whether polling is 'dead.' Maybe it was simply hospitalized in critical condition and no one can be sure whether it will get out https://t.co/812VjCI2NE — PolitiTweet.org

I think the disagreement is actually different and a bit less exciting in some sense. It's mainly that I don't thin… https://t.co/3GZsnfPsay

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, history offers plenty of reason to hope that polling could leave the hospital. So if that's the main @NateSilver538 position here, then he's right that we may not disagree as deeply as I think — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021