Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Thu Mar 25 14:44:51 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't really agree with @NateSilver538's glass-half full perspective on the 2020 polling miss https://t.co/1lwJLknbt3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Yeah, I don't think we have any reason to believe, based on the history of midterm elections, that these early generic ballot figures (or presidential approval ratings) have a lot of value for gaming out what the national environment will look like in 2022 https://t.co/QMyKLjzTtn — PolitiTweet.org

hasn't been much generic ballot polling so far - this from an R firm. Even in R-leaning cycles - which 2022 may be… https://t.co/vSCYPZWA5L

Posted March 24, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'd boil down the disagreement to one fundamental thing: I think low systemic bias is far, far more important than important for thinking about the polls average error, while I think @NateSilver538 looks a lot more at average error — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2021 Just a Typo