Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 2, 2021

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Mon Mar 22 16:54:20 +0000 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject @jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc If you kept all other states in place, and all of nv/pa/mi/wi/nc/fl/az/ga/tx voted for trump by 1.4 points, you'd have an EC-PV gap of 6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject @jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc depends on the magnitude of the noise, i suppose. i do think the theoretical GOP EC-PV maximum is probably when all of these tipping-point plausible states vote the exact same way (conditional on the base states remaining as they are) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ElectProject @jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc (trump+1.4 points is the average result across those eight states) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 22, 2021