Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc no, it's true without a uniform swing; in fact, it's wrong if there is a uniform swing, as a uniform swing would have zero effect on the EC-PV gap — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonmladd @davidshor @kimballdc i'm pointing out that the EC-PV gap is robust; even a huge movement among the largest battleground state won't break it! but if you don't think they can even pull that off, because, say, you assume the states are random walks, then it's even harder for Dems to breakout! — PolitiTweet.org